Ero Copper Corp.
ERO.TO (TSX: ERO) TSXAt a glance
- Up 36.1% over the past year; the S&P/TSX Composite rose 20.0%.
- P/E 8.3 — lower than 64% of Basic Materials peers (177 companies).
- Market cap $4.43B; average daily dollar volume $22.6M over the past 3 months — High liquidity.
- Latest published plan: LONG on 2026-10-07 at $52.38 — resolved LOSS -0.61% (full ladder).
- 1-year volatility 62.9% (annualized); largest fall from a peak over the past year -36.7%.
Price chart
Split- and dividend-adjusted. All three lines are rebased to 100 at the start of the range, so the chart compares moves, not prices. L marks a LONG plan, S a SHORT plan — each links to that session's day page.
Monthly closes (table version, last 5 years)
| Month | Close |
|---|---|
| 2021-12 | 19.30 |
| 2022-01 | 15.83 |
| 2022-02 | 18.14 |
| 2022-03 | 18.31 |
| 2022-04 | 18.47 |
| 2022-05 | 15.69 |
| 2022-06 | 10.87 |
| 2022-07 | 12.67 |
| 2022-08 | 12.46 |
| 2022-09 | 15.27 |
| 2022-10 | 15.51 |
| 2022-11 | 17.03 |
| 2022-12 | 18.64 |
| 2023-01 | 21.85 |
| 2023-02 | 21.40 |
| 2023-03 | 23.91 |
| 2023-04 | 26.68 |
| 2023-05 | 22.47 |
| 2023-06 | 26.80 |
| 2023-07 | 31.70 |
| 2023-08 | 27.95 |
| 2023-09 | 23.42 |
| 2023-10 | 18.82 |
| 2023-11 | 16.72 |
| 2023-12 | 20.95 |
| 2024-01 | 21.05 |
| 2024-02 | 23.12 |
| 2024-03 | 26.12 |
| 2024-04 | 28.07 |
| 2024-05 | 29.02 |
| 2024-06 | 29.24 |
| 2024-07 | 27.00 |
| 2024-08 | 27.71 |
| 2024-09 | 30.11 |
| 2024-10 | 25.57 |
| 2024-11 | 21.39 |
| 2024-12 | 19.38 |
| 2025-01 | 19.46 |
| 2025-02 | 17.08 |
| 2025-03 | 17.43 |
| 2025-04 | 17.22 |
| 2025-05 | 19.38 |
| 2025-06 | 23.00 |
| 2025-07 | 18.75 |
| 2025-08 | 19.72 |
| 2025-09 | 28.19 |
| 2025-10 | 29.95 |
| 2025-11 | 35.22 |
| 2025-12 | 38.83 |
| 2026-01 | 45.68 |
| 2026-02 | 46.66 |
| 2026-03 | 37.07 |
| 2026-04 | 35.11 |
| 2026-05 | 42.01 |
| 2026-06 | 37.87 |
| 2026-07 | 37.64 |
| 2026-08 | 51.57 |
| 2026-09 | 52.28 |
| 2026-10 | 40.67 |
| 2026-11 | 42.45 |
The Composite is proxied by XIU.TO (iShares S&P/TSX 60 Index ETF); the database holds no Composite index series. The sector fund is a fund, never the index.
Performance
Over the past year the stock is up 36.1% against +20.0% for the Composite — 16.0 points ahead.
| Metric | 1W | 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stock | +8.0% | -20.9% | -15.5% | -0.1% | +9.3% | +36.1% | +37.9% | +12.1% |
| Sector fund (XMA.TO) | -1.3% | -8.3% | -8.1% | -11.9% | +1.8% | +13.6% | +37.4% | +17.8% |
| Composite (XIU.TO, proxy) | +1.8% | +2.8% | -0.1% | +9.4% | +16.1% | +20.0% | +22.0% | +10.5% |
| Difference vs Composite | +6.2% | -23.7% | -15.5% | -9.5% | -6.8% | +16.0% | +15.9% | +1.7% |
3Y and 5Y are annualized from 3Y. The Composite is proxied by XIU.TO; the sector fund is iShares S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index ETF (XMA.TO).
Risk and trading
1-year volatility +62.9% (annualized); largest fall from a peak -36.7% (Jan 29, 2026 to Mar 20, 2026); beta 2.21 against the Composite (2Y weekly).
| Volatility (1Y, annualized) | +62.9% |
| Maximum drawdown (1Y) | -36.7% (Jan 29, 2026 to Mar 20, 2026) |
| Beta (2Y weekly, vs Composite) | 2.21 |
| Average daily volume (3M) | 473,716 |
| Dollar volume (3M, average per day) | $22.6M |
| Liquidity | High (High: $1M or more a day; Moderate: $100K or more; Low: under $100K, by average daily dollar volume.) |
Valuation
P/E 8.3 — lower than 64% of Basic Materials peers (177 companies). The sector median P/E is 11.3.
| Multiple | Value | Against sector peers |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | 8.3 | Lower than 64% of peers (177 companies; median 11.3) |
| Earnings yield | 12.11% | — |
| P/B | 2.37 | Lower than 31% of peers (204 companies; median 1.65) |
| P/S | Not available: Not available — needs TTM revenue; see financials. | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.7 | Lower than 39% of peers (174 companies; median 5.7) |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | — |
| Payout ratio | Not available: Not available — no stored dividend history yet. | — |
Each multiple is shown against the sector median of the pages' universe as a percentile: "lower than 25% of peers" means the value sits below 25% of them. Valuation multiples are from the Nov 12, 2026 snapshot, and are always printed with that date.
More: dividend rate and earnings yield
Dividend rate: Not available: No dividend rate in the snapshot. Earnings yield is earnings per share divided by price — the inverse of P/E.
Financials
Revenue $785.8M in 2025 (TTM $1.04B); net income $263.7M; free cash flow $112.7M. Reporting currency: USD.
| Metric | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $426.4M | $427.5M | $470.3M | $785.8M | $1.04B |
| Gross margin | 43.9% | 36.7% | 38.4% | 43.9% | — |
| Net income | $101.8M | $92.8M | -$68.5M | $263.7M | $311.3M |
| Free cash flow | -$152.4M | -$297.6M | -$192.2M | $112.7M | $171.6M |
| Diluted shares | 92,182,633 | 102,747,558 | 103,555,211 | 104,192,288 | — |
Revenue by year
Free cash flow by year
| Cash | $105.4M |
| Total debt | $632.3M |
| Debt-to-equity | 0.68 |
| Operating margin (latest snapshot, Nov 12, 2026) | 39.8% |
Figures as reported in stored financials; reporting currency USD. Operating margin is not stored per year, so the latest snapshot value is shown. TTM covers 2025-09-30, 2025-12-31, 2026-03-31, 2026-06-30.
Dividends and splits
Pays a 0.00% trailing dividend yield (as of Nov 12, 2026). No splits on record.
| Year | Dividend per share |
|---|---|
| Not available: No stored dividend history yet. | |
Trailing yield 0.00% is the stored key-stats snapshot value (as of Nov 12, 2026) — the dividend history itself is not stored yet, so no history table is shown.
| Date | Action | Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| Not available: No splits on record for this ticker. | ||
Next ex-dividend date: Not available: No stored ex-dividend dates for equities. Prices on the chart are split- and dividend-adjusted (no splits on record, so nothing to adjust).
Ownership and dilution
Insiders bought 0 times and sold 1 times in the 90 days to Nov 12, 2026. Shares outstanding grew 0.6% over 1 year.
| Insider buys (90 days) | 0 |
| Insider sell (90 days) | 1 |
| Shares outstanding change (1Y) | +0.6% |
| Shares outstanding change (3Y) | +13.0% |
| Held by insiders | 2.30% |
| Held by institutions | 77.33% |
Counts are by filing date. Holdings are from the key-stats snapshot (as of Nov 12, 2026).
Recent insider trades (6)
| Filing date | Type | Name | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | OTHER | STRANG (DAVID MAXWELL) | 34,128 | 13.49 | $460K |
| Aug 26, 2026 | OTHER | GOSSELIN (CHANTAL) | 4,137 | 13.47 | $56K |
| Aug 24, 2026 | OTHER | HUNDAL, DEEPK | 2,500 | 13.03 | $33K |
| Aug 24, 2026 | SELL | BRAATEN (LYLE) | 10,000 | 38.54 | $385K |
| Aug 21, 2026 | OTHER | BUSBY, STEVEN | 4,137 | 13.58 | $56K |
| Aug 21, 2026 | OTHER | HANNIGAN (BRETT RONALD) | 3,924 | 15.06 | $59K |
Peers
Peers in Basic Materials, by market cap: AEM.TO, ABX.TO, WPM.TO, FNV.TO, NTR.TO, TECK-A.TO, TECK-B.TO, K.TO.
| Ticker | Price | 1Y % | Market cap | P/E | EV/EBITDA | Div yield | 1Y vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEM.TO | 254.28 | +8.2% | $128.55B | 14.9 | 12.4 | 0.96% | +49.2% |
| ABX.TO | 53.96 | +7.5% | $87.88B | 9.9 | 7.2 | 1.78% | +47.0% |
| WPM.TO | 187.96 | +28.9% | $85.37B | 29.4 | 29.7 | 0.57% | +52.1% |
| FNV.TO | 352.89 | +29.6% | $68.06B | 33.4 | 32.2 | 0.70% | +39.3% |
| NTR.TO | 101.50 | +22.1% | $48.12B | 16.0 | 11.1 | 3.06% | +31.8% |
| TECK-A.TO | 87.28 | +44.6% | $42.85B | 11.3 | 6.2 | 0.55% | +48.8% |
| TECK-B.TO | 87.23 | +45.0% | $42.83B | 11.3 | 6.2 | 0.55% | +47.4% |
| K.TO | 29.53 | -16.8% | $34.79B | 8.1 | 6.4 | 0.74% | +53.7% |
Each row links to its own page when one exists. Peer 1Y returns and volatility use raw closes; peer splits are unadjusted.
analiti.ca history
4 published plans: 1 wins, 3 losses, 0 open; average -1.69% per resolved plan (full ladder).
| Date | Side | Entry | Stop | First exit | Exits | Outcome (full ladder) | First exit | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | LONG | 52.85 | 48.97 | 55.44 | Exit 1 · 40% out 55.44 (+4.9%); Exit 2 · 30% out 58.02 (+9.8%); Exit 3 · 20% out 60.61 (+14.7%) | WIN (1.43%) · Oct 7, 2026 | WIN (4.90%) · Oct 5, 2026 | 32 |
| 2026-10-05 | LONG | 54.83 | 50.92 | 57.44 | Exit 1 · 40% out 57.44 (+4.8%); Exit 2 · 30% out 60.05 (+9.5%); Exit 3 · 20% out 62.66 (+14.3%) | LOSS (-7.13%) · Oct 8, 2026 | LOSS (-7.13%) · Oct 8, 2026 | 32 |
| 2026-10-06 | LONG | 53.90 | 50.02 | 56.49 | Exit 1 · 40% out 56.49 (+4.8%); Exit 2 · 30% out 59.07 (+9.6%); Exit 3 · 20% out 61.66 (+14.4%) | LOSS (-0.43%) · Oct 9, 2026 | SCRATCH (-0.43%) · Oct 9, 2026 | 32 |
| 2026-10-07 | LONG | 52.38 | 48.55 | 54.93 | Exit 1 · 40% out 54.93 (+4.9%); Exit 2 · 30% out 57.48 (+9.7%); Exit 3 · 20% out 60.04 (+14.6%) | LOSS (-0.61%) · Oct 13, 2026 | SCRATCH (-0.61%) · Oct 13, 2026 | 32 |
The full ladder is the headline method: 40/30/20% at the three exits, the last slice held to stop or end. First exit credits the whole position at the first exit level. Full history: the track record. Each plan's day page is linked from its date; the brief that day: brief not published yet, brief not published yet, brief not published yet, brief not published yet.
Superstock score
No Superstock score published for this ticker. The score is the published Superstock screen score — nothing else.
Sector condition: Basic Materials — Lagging (as of Nov 5, 2026). Superstock screen.
Key dates
| Next earnings | Not available: No company release or exchange notice in the stored data — stored dates are Yahoo-sourced, so none is shown. |
| Last earnings | Aug 5, 2026 · EPS 1.16 |
| Next ex-dividend | Not available: No stored ex-dividend dates for equities. |
The next earnings date is shown only from the company's own release or an exchange notice, with a link. The stored last-earnings date is Yahoo-sourced.
Sources and data notes
| Block | Source | As of |
|---|---|---|
| prices, chart, performance, risk | daily_prices (Yahoo) | Nov 12, 2026 |
| valuation, market cap, ownership | yahoo_key_stats snapshot | Nov 12, 2026 |
| financials | financials (Yahoo) | Jun 30, 2026 |
| plans, resolutions | published entries-*.json + track-record.json | Nov 12, 2026 |
| insiders | insider_trades (SEDI filings) | Nov 12, 2026 |
| splits | Split inventory (interim table) | Nov 5, 2026 |
| sector condition | conditions-2026-11-05.json | Nov 5, 2026 |
| Superstock score | superstock_checks + superstock.json | Nov 12, 2026 |
Not available rules. A field older than its freshness limit shows "not available", never a stale number: prices, 3 trading days; fundamentals, 120 days after the fiscal period end plus 45 days. Valuation multiples are always printed with their snapshot date.
Data file: /data/t/ERO.TO.json · Markdown twin: /t/ERO.TO.md
Facts and published history only. Plans are generated by a quant model.